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Ideas like
- If you have an opinion on who will win the election -- like you drove through rural Michigan and saw more Trump yard signs than expected -- why not model an informal survey like that as a poll and run it through the model? I'm interested in whether something like "rural Michigan looks Trumpy" swings the forecast by something more like 5% or more like 40%.
- You can run a bunch of fake random polls through the model and find out which ones swing the forecast the most. Presumably that's where more dollars should go into producing high quality polls.
Part of the point of an open model is it starts enabling applications like this in the politics and media space.
Thanks for building it! It's a layer of our polls system that's been untransparent and closed until now, so I'm glad you all launched it.
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