forked from lnsongxf/BufferStockTheory-2
-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 2
/
BufferStockTheory.bib
635 lines (577 loc) · 21.6 KB
/
BufferStockTheory.bib
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
,-------------------.
| PREAMBLE |
`-------------------'
@preamble{ "\providecommand{\noopsort}[1]{}
\providecommand{\singleletter}[1]{#1}
\providecommand{\noopsort}[1]{}
\providecommand{\singleletter}[1]{#1} "
}
,-------------------.
| BIBTEX ENTRIES |
`-------------------'
@article{bewleyPIH,
author = {Bewley, Truman},
journal = {Journal of Economic Theory},
pages = {252--292},
title = {The Permanent Income Hypothesis: A Theoretical
Formulation},
volume = {16},
year = {1977},
}
@inproceedings{carroll_et_al-proc-scipy-2018,
author = {{C}hristopher {D}. {C}arroll and
{A}lexander {M}. {K}aufman and
{J}acqueline {L}. {K}azil and {N}athan {M}. {P}almer and
{M}atthew {N}. {W}hite},
booktitle = {{P}roceedings of the 17th {P}ython in {S}cience
{C}onference},
editor = {{F}atih {A}kici and {D}avid {L}ippa and
{D}illon {N}iederhut and {M} {P}acer},
pages = {25 - 30},
title = {{T}he {E}con-{A}{R}{K} and {H}{A}{R}{K}: {O}pen
{S}ource {T}ools for {C}omputational {E}conomics},
year = {2018},
doi = {10.25080/Majora-4af1f417-004},
}
@book{friedmanATheory,
author = {Friedman, Milton A.},
publisher = {Princeton University Press},
title = {A Theory of the Consumption Function},
year = {1957},
}
@article{muthOptimal,
author = {Muth, John F.},
journal = {Journal of the American Statistical Association},
number = {290},
pages = {299--306},
title = {Optimal Properties of Exponentially Weighted
Forecasts},
volume = {55},
year = {1960},
}
@article{zeldesStochastic,
author = {Zeldes, Stephen P.},
journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
month = {May},
number = {2},
pages = {275--298},
title = {Optimal Consumption with Stochastic Income:
{D}eviations from Certainty Equivalence},
volume = {104},
year = {1989},
}
@article{carrollBSLCPIH,
author = {Carroll, Christopher D.},
journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
number = {1},
pages = {1--56},
title = {Buffer Stock Saving and the Life Cycle/Permanent
Income Hypothesis},
volume = {CXII},
year = {1997},
}
@article{gpLifeCycle,
author = {Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier and Parker, Jonathan},
journal = {Econometrica},
number = {1},
pages = {47--89},
title = {Consumption Over the Life Cycle},
volume = {70},
year = {2002},
}
@article{Cagetti,
author = {Marco Cagetti},
journal = {Journal of Business and Economic Statistics},
number = {3},
pages = {339--353},
title = {Wealth Ac{\-}cumulation Over the Life Cycle and
Pre{\-}cau{\-}tion{\-}ary Savings},
volume = {21},
year = {2003},
}
@book{bellmanDynamicProgramming,
address = {Princeton, NJ, USA},
author = {Bellman, Richard},
edition = {1},
publisher = {Princeton University Press},
title = {Dynamic Programming},
year = {1957},
}
@book{slpMethods,
author = {Stokey, Nancy L. and Lucas, Robert E. and
Edward C. Prescott},
publisher = {Harvard University Press},
title = {Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics},
year = {1989},
}
@article{mstIncFluct,
author = {Ma, Qingyin and Stachurski, John and
Toda, Alexis Akira},
journal = {Journal of Economic Theory},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {The income fluctuation problem and the evolution of
wealth},
volume = {187},
year = {2020},
}
@article{kmpHandbook,
author = {Krueger, Dirk and Mitman, Kurt and Perri, Fabrizio},
journal = {Handbook of Macroeconomics},
pages = {843--921},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {Macroeconomics and Household Heterogeneity},
volume = {2},
year = {2016},
abstract = {The goal of this chapter is to study how, and by how
much, household income, wealth, and preference
heterogeneity amplify and propagate a macroeconomic
shock. We focus on the U.S. Great Recession of
2007-2009 and proceed in two steps. First, using data
from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, we document
the patterns of household income, consumption and
wealth inequality before and during the Great
Recession. We then investigate how households in
different segments of the wealth distribution were
affected by income declines, and how they changed
their expenditures differentially during the
aggregate downturn. Motivated by this evidence, we
study several variants of a standard heterogeneous
household model with aggregate shocks and an
endogenous cross-sectional wealth distribution. Our
key finding is that wealth inequality can
significantly amplify the impact of an aggregate
shock, and it does so if the distribution features a
sufficiently large fraction of households with very
little net worth that sharply increase their saving
(i.e. they are not hand-to mouth) as the recession
hits. We document that both these features are
observed in the PSID. We also investigate the role
that social insurance policies, such as unemployment
insurance, play in shaping the cross-sectional income
and wealth distribution, and through it, the dynamics
of business cycles.},
doi = {10.3386/w22319},
url = {http://www.nber.org/papers/w22319},
}
@article{schmitt2003closing,
author = {Schmitt-Groh{\'e}, Stephanie and Uribe, Mart{\i}n},
journal = {Journal of international Economics},
number = {1},
pages = {163--185},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {Closing small open economy models},
volume = {61},
year = {2003},
}
@article{benhabibWealth,
author = {Benhabib, Jess and Bisin, Alberto and Zhu, Shenghao},
journal = {Journal of Economic Theory},
note = {Available at
\url{https://www.nber.org/papers/w20157.pdf}},
pages = {489--515},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {The wealth distribution in Bewley economies with
capital income risk},
volume = {159},
year = {2015},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
S0022053115001362},
}
@misc{maTodaRich,
author = {Qingyin Ma and Alexis Akira Toda},
journal = {arXiv},
title = {A Theory of the Saving Rate of the Rich},
year = {2020},
}
@article{rabaultBorrowing,
author = {Rabault, Guillaume},
journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control},
number = {2},
pages = {217--245},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {When do borrowing constraints bind? Some new results
on the income fluctuation problem},
volume = {26},
year = {2002},
}
@article{lsIncFluct,
author = {Li, Huiyu and Stachurski, John},
journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control},
pages = {353--365},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {Solving the income fluctuation problem with unbounded
rewards},
volume = {45},
year = {2014},
}
@article{carrollBrookings,
author = {Carroll, Christopher D.},
journal = {Brookings Papers on Economic Activity},
note =
{\url{https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/BufferStockBPEA.pdf}},
number = {2},
pages = {61--156},
title = {The Buffer-Stock Theory of Saving: Some Macroeconomic
Evidence},
volume = {1992},
year = {1992},
url = {https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/
BufferStockBPEA.pdf},
}
@article{seIncFluct,
author = {Schechtman, Jack and Escudero, Vera},
journal = {Journal of Economic Theory},
pages = {151--166},
title = {Some results on `An Income Fluctuation Problem'},
volume = {16},
year = {1977},
}
@article{macurdyTimeseries,
author = {MaCurdy, Thomas},
journal = {Journal of Econometrics},
number = {1},
pages = {83--114},
title = {The Use of Time Series Processes to Model the Error
Structure of Earnings in a Longitudinal Data
Analysis},
volume = {18},
year = {1982},
}
@article{acCovariance,
author = {Abowd, John M. and Card, David},
journal = {Econometrica},
pages = {411--445},
title = {On the Covariance Structure of Earnings and Hours
Changes},
volume = {57},
year = {1989},
}
@article{csNature,
author = {Carroll, Christopher D. and Samwick, Andrew A.},
journal = {Journal of Monetary Economics},
number = {1},
pages = {41--71},
title = {The {N}ature of {P}recautionary {W}ealth},
volume = {40},
year = {1997},
url = {https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/papers/
nature.pdf},
}
@article{jpCins,
author = {Jappelli, Tullio and Pistaferri, Luigi},
journal = {Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed
Paper Number 0118},
month = {August},
title = {Intertemporal Choice and Consumption Mobility},
year = {2000},
url = {http://fmwww.bc.edu/RePEc/es2000/0118.pdf},
}
@techreport{dhmImproving,
author = {Daly, Moira and Hryshko, Dmytro and
Manovskii, Iourii},
institution = {National Bureau of Economic Research},
title = {Improving the measurement of earnings dynamics},
year = {2016},
}
@article{dmHowMuch,
author = {Hryshko, Dmytro and Manovskii, Iourii},
journal = {Manuscript, University of Alerta},
month = {August},
title = {How much consumption insurance in the US?},
year = {2020},
url = {http://www.artsrn.ualberta.ca/econweb/hryshko/Papers/
HryshkoManovskii-how-much-aug25-2020.pdf},
}
@article{deatonLiqConstr,
author = {Deaton, Angus S.},
journal = {Econometrica},
note = {\url{https://www.jstor.org/stable/2938366}},
pages = {1221-1248},
title = {Saving and Liquidity Constraints},
volume = {59},
year = {1991},
url = {http://www.jstor.org/stable/2938366},
}
@article{scheinkman&weiss:borrowing,
author = {Scheinkman, Jos\'e and Weiss, Laurence},
journal = {Econometrica},
number = {1},
pages = {23--46},
title = {Borrowing Constraints and Aggregate Economic
Activity},
volume = {54},
year = {1986},
}
@article{claridaErgodic,
author = {Clarida, Richard H.},
journal = {International Economic Review},
pages = {339--351},
title = {Consumption, Liquidity Constraints, and Asset
Accumulation in the Face of Random Fluctuations in
Income},
volume = {XXVIII},
year = {1987},
}
@article{cwcUnderUncert,
author = {Chamberlain, Gary and Wilson, Charles A.},
journal = {Review of Economic Dynamics},
number = {3},
pages = {365--395},
title = {Optimal Intertemporal Consumption Under Uncertainty},
volume = {3},
year = {2000},
}
@article{tocheUrisk,
author = {Toche, Patrick},
journal = {Economics Letters},
number = {2},
pages = {267--272},
title = {A Tractable Model of Pre{\-}cau{\-}tion{\-}ary
Sav{\-}ing in Con{\-}tin{\-}uous Time},
volume = {87},
year = {2005},
}
@article{asHomogeneous,
author = {Alvarez, Fernando and Stokey, Nancy L},
journal = {Journal of economic theory},
number = {1},
pages = {167--189},
publisher = {Elsevier},
title = {Dynamic programming with homogeneous functions},
volume = {82},
year = {1998},
}
@article{mnUnique,
author = {Janusz Matkowski and Andrzej S. Nowak},
journal = {Economic Theory},
pages = {455--474},
title = {On Discounted Dynamic Programming With Unbounded
Returns},
volume = {46},
year = {2011},
}
@article{rrExistence,
author = {Rinc{\'o}n-Zapatero, Juan Pablo and
Rodr{\'\i}guez-Palmero, Carlos},
journal = {Econometrica},
number = {5},
pages = {1519--1555},
publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
title = {Existence and uniqueness of solutions to the Bellman
equation in the unbounded case},
volume = {71},
year = {2003},
}
@article{mvExistence,
author = {Martins-da-Rocha, V Filipe and Vailakis, Yiannis},
journal = {Econometrica},
number = {3},
pages = {1127--1141},
publisher = {Wiley Online Library},
title = {Existence and uniqueness of a fixed point for local
contractions},
volume = {78},
year = {2010},
}
@article{ramseySave,
author = {Ramsey, Frank},
journal = {Economic Journal},
number = {152},
pages = {543--559},
title = {A Mathematical Theory of Saving},
volume = {38},
year = {1928},
}
@book{riehl2017category,
author = {Riehl, Emily},
publisher = {Courier Dover Publications},
title = {Category theory in context},
year = {2017},
}
@article{chkLiqConstr,
author = {Carroll, Christopher D. and Martin Holm and
Miles S. Kimball},
journal =
{\href{https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/papers/LiqConstr}{Manuscript,
Johns Hopkins University}},
note =
{\url{https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/papers/LiqConstr}},
title = {Liquidity Constraints and Precautionary Saving},
year = {2019},
url = {https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/papers/LiqConstr},
}
@article{ckConcavity,
author = {Carroll, Christo{\-}pher D. and
Kim{\-}ball, Miles S.},
journal = {Econometrica},
note =
{\url{https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/concavity.pdf}},
number = {4},
pages = {981--992},
title = {On the {C}on{\-}cav{\-}ity of the {C}onsumption
{F}unction},
volume = {64},
year = {1996},
url = {https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/concavity.pdf},
}
@article{aiyagari:ge,
author = {Aiyagari, S. Rao},
journal = {Quarterly Journal of Economics},
pages = {659--684},
title = {Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving},
volume = {109},
year = {1994},
}
@article{yaoNote,
author = {Jiaxiong Yao},
journal = {Manuscript, Johns Hopkins University},
title = {The Theoretical Foundations of Buffer Stock Saving: A
Note},
year = {2012},
}
@article{jboydWeighted,
author = {Boyd, John H.},
journal = {Journal of Economic Theory},
month = {April},
number = {2},
pages = {326--345},
title = {Recursive Utility and the Ramsey Problem},
volume = {50},
year = {1990},
}
@article{duranDiscounting,
author = {Dur{\'a}n, Jorge},
journal = {Economic Theory},
number = {2},
pages = {395--413},
publisher = {Springer},
title = {Discounting long run average growth in stochastic
dynamic programs},
volume = {22},
year = {2003},
}
@article{szeidlInvariant,
author = {Szeidl, Adam},
journal = {Manuscript, Central European University},
note = {Available at
\url{http://www.personal.ceu.hu/staff/Adam_Szeidl/papers/invariant_revision.pdf}},
title = {Sta{\-}ble In{\-}vari{\-}ant Distribution in
Buffer-Stock Sav{\-}ing and Sto{\-}chastic Growth
Models},
year = {2013},
}
@article{harmenbergInvariant,
author = {Karl Harmenberg},
journal = {Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control},
pages = {104185},
title = {Agg{\-}re{\-}gat{\-}ing hetero{\-}gen{\-}eous-agent
mod{\-}els with per{\-}manent in{\-}come shocks},
volume = {129},
year = {2021},
abstract = {I introduce a method for simulating aggregate
dynamics of heterogeneous-agent models where log
permanent income follows a random walk. The idea is
to simulate the model using a counterfactual
permanent-income-neutral measure which incorporates
the effect that permanent income shocks have on
macroeconomic aggregates. With the
permanent-income-neutral measure, one does not need
to keep track of the permanent-income distribution.
The permanent-income-neutral measure is both useful
for the analytical characterization of aggregate
consumption-savings behavior and for simulating
numerical models. Furthermore, it is trivial to
implement with a few lines of code.},
doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104185},
issn = {0165-1889},
url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/
S0165188921001202},
}
@article{BufferStockTheoryQESubmit,
author = {Christopher D. Carroll},
journal = {Quantitative Economics},
title = {Theoretical Foundations of Buffer Stock Saving},
year = {2019, Submitted},
doi = {https://zenodo.org/badge/latestdoi/304124725},
url = {https://econ-ark.github.io/BufferStockTheory},
}
@article{cstwMPC,
author = {Christopher D. Carroll and Jiri Sla{\-}calek and
Kiichi To{\-}ku{\-}o{\-}ka and Matt{\-}hew N. White},
journal = {Quantitative Economics},
month = {November},
note = {At
\url{https://www.econ2.jhu.edu/people/ccarroll/papers/cstwMPC}},
pages = {977-1020},
title = {The Dis{\-}tri{\-}bu{\-}tion of Wealth and the
Mar{\-}gi{\-}nal Pro{\-}pen{\-}si{\-}ty to
Con{\-}sume},
volume = {8},
year = {2017},
doi = {10.3982/QE694},
url = {http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.3982/QE694/pdf},
}
@article{blanchardFinite,
author = {Blanchard, Olivier J.},
journal = {Journal of Political Economy},
month = {April},
number = {2},
pages = {223--247},
title = {Debt, Deficits, and Finite Horizons},
volume = {93},
year = {1985},
}
@article{yaari1965uncertain,
author = {Yaari, Menahem E},
journal = {The Review of Economic Studies},
number = {2},
pages = {137--150},
publisher = {JSTOR},
title = {Uncertain lifetime, life insurance, and the theory of
the consumer},
volume = {32},
year = {1965},
}
@article{modiglianiWealth,
author = {Modigliani, Franco},
journal = {Social Research},
pages = {160--217},
title = {The Life Cycle Hypothesis, the Demand for Wealth, and
the Supply of Capital},
volume = {33},
year = {1966},
}
@book{hendricksBequests,
author = {Hendricks, Lutz},
journal = {Manuscript, University of Arizona},
publisher = {University of Arizona},
title = {Bequests and Retirement Wealth in the United States},
year = {2001},
url = {https://lhendricks.org/Research/wps/bequdata_paper.pdf},
}
@article{hendricksSmallBequests,
author = {Lutz Hendricks},
journal = {Lecture Notes, Economics 821, University of North
Carolina},
title = {Wealth Distribution and Bequests},
year = {2016},
url = {https://lhendricks.org/econ821/wealth/wealth_bequ_sl.pdf},
}
@article{hiraguchiBSProofs,
author = {Hiraguchi, Ryoji},
journal = {Manuscript, Johns Hopkins University},
title = {On the Convergence of Consumption Rules},
year = {2003},
}
@article{StachurskiToda2019JET,
author = {Stachurski, John and Toda, Alexis Akira},
journal = {Journal of Economic Theory},
month = jul,
pages = {1-24},
title = {An Impossibility Theorem for Wealth in
Heterogeneous-Agent Models with Limited
Heterogeneity},
volume = {182},
year = {2019},
doi = {10.1016/j.jet.2019.04.001},
}