Salem Center Forecasting Tournament 2022-2023

Data and python scripts for analyzing prediction market data in the 2022-2023 CPSI/Salem Forecasting Tournament.

Simple python scripts to help analyze the tournament trading data by creating dataframes of:

• Tournament bets and markets
• Tournament trade times
• Profit by all traders
• Bets by Jonathan Zubkoff
• Markets traded by Jonathan Zubkoff

The data used in these scripts (bets.json and contracts.json) is generously made available by the organizers and can be found here. For more information please check out the tournament rules, results, and site. This repo and accompanying article are not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the forecasting tournament, the Salem Center for Policy, the McCombs School of Business, the University of Texas at Austin, or the Center for the Study of Partisanship and Ideology.

To run these scripts, first install the necessary libraries via pip:

pip install numpy pandas json datetime